What is prediction.click?

prediction.click shows you whether Polymarket's short-term crypto Up/Down markets are mispriced — and lets you trade on that edge in one click.

The Problem

Polymarket lists hundreds of 5-minute, 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour binary options on crypto prices (e.g., "Will BTC go up in the next 5 minutes?"). These markets are often mispriced because:

• Market makers can't keep up with fast-moving crypto prices

• Short-term markets expire quickly, leaving less time for prices to correct

• Most traders rely on gut feeling, not math

Our Solution

We compute a mathematically derived fair value for every market, every second. The gap between our fair value and the market price is called the Edge.

Edge = Fair Value - Market Price

When the Edge is positive, the market is underpriced — that's your opportunity.

How It Works

Binance (real-time crypto price)
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        v
  Pricing Engine (updates every 1 second)
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        v
  Fair Value = "What should this market be worth?"
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        v
  Edge = Fair Value - Polymarket Price
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        v
  Dashboard shows: BUY / HOLD / SELL

1. We stream real-time spot prices from Binance (~100ms latency)

2. Our pricing model computes the true probability using a Student-t fat-tail distribution

3. We compare this fair value to the current Polymarket price

4. If the Edge is big enough (>3%), we show a BUY signal

What You See

Element	What it means
Edge % (green)	Market is underpriced — potential buy opportunity
Edge % (red)	Market is overpriced — no action needed
Fair Value	Our model's probability estimate (e.g., 53%)
Market Price	Current Polymarket price (e.g., 49%)
BUY UP / BUY DOWN	One-click trade buttons
P&L	Your profit or loss on open positions

Supported Markets

• Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB

• Timeframes: 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours

• Updates: Every 1 second via WebSocket

Visit prediction.click to get started.